In a shocking turn, ASML’s misstep wiped out a staggering $420 billion in market capitalization for chipmakers worldwide. Over the past three months, ASML has plummeted 35%, with ripple effects shaking the entire semiconductor sector. While some pundits, like CNBC, insist the AI bubble is “contained” to ASML, many are drawing eerie comparisons to the subprime mortgage crisis—where early warnings were also dismissed.
Despite ASML’s weak guidance, Barron’s reports that this isn’t proof of the AI bubble bursting. Yet, the stock’s dramatic reversal and the sector’s slump hint otherwise. Nvidia, for example, approached its high on Monday, only to sharply reverse, signaling a deeper issue. Adding fuel to the fire, ASML CEO Christophe Fouquet warns of a slow chip market recovery extending “well into 2025.”
The signs of a bursting AI bubble are glaring—oversupply of GPUs is already here, and ASML’s error has pulled back the curtain on the fragile reality of Nvidia’s dominance. Investors should brace for more volatility as the semiconductor sector faces what could be a prolonged and painful correction.
Sources:
https://finance.yahoo.com/video/asml-fueled-sell-off-erases-154037282.html
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/global-chip-stocks-shed-420-025259801.html
#recession … #Tech Bubble 2.0 edition https://t.co/ZAWsPeWmIk
— Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) October 16, 2024
Barron's this morning asserts that ASML's weak guidance was NOT proof the AI bubble is popping:https://t.co/J4YSkCPGZV
In the chart below we see that Nvidia approached its prior high on Monday and then reversed. And the broader semiconductor sector is nowhere near the July… pic.twitter.com/EPKElTaVMJ
— Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) October 16, 2024
@CNBC states the AI 🫧 bursting is “contained” to one stock $ASML
📉-35% in the past 3 months
Just like subprime #MBS was contained pic.twitter.com/IHJaFpLTUn
— Golden Coast (Cassandra) (@GregCrennan) October 16, 2024
It's a process. https://t.co/hUU8dQLBv1 pic.twitter.com/lfNSckojhx
— The Great Martis (@great_martis) October 16, 2024
so he learned nothing from the internet bubble contrary to what he says 🙄 https://t.co/eMdJzY2iwk
— JustDario 🏊♂️ (@DarioCpx) October 16, 2024
⚠️ GPUs OVERSUPPLY IS ALREADY HERE – HOW ASML’S MISTAKE EXPOSED NVIDIA’S CASTLE OF LIES ⚠️$NVDA $ASML #stocks #Semiconductors #markets
Article 👇🏻https://t.co/eUBKP6eFn9
— JustDario 🏊♂️ (@DarioCpx) October 16, 2024
ASML CEO Christophe Fouquet said he expects a slow chip market recovery to extend “well into 2025,” following disappointing third-quarter earnings https://t.co/Fywiqka596
— Bloomberg Markets (@markets) October 16, 2024